Publication Details

The New Zealand tertiary education demand forecast report presents the methodology used by the Ministry of Education to forecast the demand for provider-based tertiary education at Levels 3 and above on the New Zealand Qualifications Framework. It also includes the most recent forecast, and historical forecasts back to 2016.

The report on the accuracy of the provider-based tertiary demand methodology compares the forecasts with actual tertiary enrolments. An accompanying spreadsheet shows the data and calculations used in the accuracy report.

The Ministry has not produced a forecast for industry training this year. Policy initiatives to increase apprenticeships means the demand for industry training during the COVID19 pandemic will primarily be driven by government funding. The last industry training forecast was done in 2019.

Author(s): Tertiary Sector Performance Analysis, Ministry of Education.

Date Published: May 2022